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smithco@smithco.cc
6 King Canyon Loop
Caballo NM
87931
575-894-6161
Health Breakdown
Avg Left
-20
Success
50
Avg Avg
0
Year Proj
2 Year Prior Proj
Qual Based
0
Cash Flow
-40
 
-10%
0%
Health
Financial Health & Pipeline Brief
Analyzed On:  Aug 12, 2026
Smithco Construction - NM (Powered by Grok AI)
Near-term Outlook (next 3-6 months)
Smithco holds **$4.2M** in total remaining backlog, with **$1.1M** tied to the March 2026 Water System project now entering active execution. Cash inflows will remain modest given the 120-month duration and single recent win, limiting near-term revenue recognition.

Medium-term Outlook (6-12 months)
The Sanitary Sewer project continues to contribute **$3.1M** in slow-burn backlog, while the 2025 zero-win year signals constrained pipeline replenishment. Overall throughput stays low without additional awards, extending the current **$3.9M** contract over a decade-long horizon.

Key Risk Period
Extended contract durations and minimal bidding activity create a prolonged risk window beyond 12 months, with potential cash flow gaps if the 100% 2026 success rate is not sustained. The outlier 32,767-month project duration further distorts forecasting reliability.

Recommendations
Prioritize aggressive bidding to rebuild annual volume above one job and accelerate recognition on the **$1.1M** active remainder. Implement monthly cash flow modeling to mitigate duration-driven liquidity constraints.
 
JOBS LOW
  • Water System Performance Improvements 1
  • Truth Consequences
  • 3/19/26
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JOBS BID
  • Water System Performance Improvements 1
  • Truth Consequences
  • $3,875,550
  • 3/19/26
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CASH FLOW
  • Water System Performance Improvements 1
  • Truth Consequences
  • $3,875,550
  • 05/18/26
  • 120
  • 92.5%
  • $968,888
  • $290,666
  • Water System Performance Improvements 1
  • Aztec
  • $3,533,970
  • 07/02/16
  • 32767
  • 11.3%
  • $3,236
  • $3,132,978
  • $972,124
  • $3,423,644
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